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Triggered Milestones

Watch Items

Q-Day Distance Estimate

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Estimated years to cryptographically relevant quantum computing

Canary Ladders

RSA Factoring Ladder

Quantum factoring milestones toward breaking RSA-2048

ECDLP Ladder

Quantum progress toward breaking elliptic curve cryptography

Hardware Progress

Physical qubit counts over time across vendors. Target: ~4,000 logical qubits for RSA-2048.

Defensive Readiness

PQC Adoption Matrix

Post-quantum cryptography deployment status across major platforms.

Entity Category Status Standard Date

Blockchain PQC Status

Quantum readiness of major blockchain networks.

Context Signals

Government & Private Funding

Annual quantum computing investment by country (USD billions).

Research Velocity

Monthly arXiv paper counts by category.

Mosca's Theorem Calculator

If your data needs to stay secret for X years, and migrating to post-quantum cryptography takes Y years, and quantum computers break current encryption in Z years... you need to start now if X + Y > Z.

Calculating...
Data shelf life Migration Quantum threat